Private company · employee equity guide
What is Polymarket stock worth?
The world’s leading prediction market platform, where users trade on the outcomes of real-world events. By putting real money behind opinions, Polymarket cuts through noise, bias, and speculation to surface a single powerful signal: what people actually believe will happen.From elections and geopolitics to business, culture, and breaking news, Polymarket transforms headlines into live markets with constantly updating probabilities. The result is a real-time, crowd-driven forecast of the future — more dynamic and often more accurate than traditional polling or expert analysis.Polymarket provide
Estimated share price
Polymarket has an observed estimated price: most recent data 2026-09-15, daily history back to 2024-07-19.
Estimated from live trades and accepted bids across employer liquidity programs, institutional trades, broker trades, and pre-IPO marketplaces. Private shares are illiquid and transfer-restricted; estimates are educational, not an offer or advice. The preview above is blurred and illustrative. How this is calculated
About Polymarket
- Employees
- 432
- Founded
- 2020
- Industry
- Software Development, Technology, Information and Internet, Technology, Information and Media
- Website
- polymarket.com
Weighing a Polymarket offer?
Upload the offer letter to see what the equity is approximately worth at today's estimated price. No account needed.
X-ray an offerLeaving Polymarket? Mind the window.
If you hold options, leaving usually starts a post-termination exercise clock, often 90 days. Miss it and vested options can expire worthless; exercise blindly and you may owe real money (including possible AMT) on shares you can't yet sell. Neither panic nor autopilot is a plan. Knowing your window, your exercise cost, and the current estimated price is.
Polymarket in the last 12 months
- 3 funding round
- 6 lawsuit or investigation
- 1 product launch
- 1 regulatory action
- 1 acquisition (as buyer)
- 1 breach or outage
Covered by 96 distinct publications since 2026-06-18.
Who founded Polymarket
Shayne Coplan
Polymarket news timeline
- Kalshi, Polymarket sued by Baltimore over sports event contracts2026-08-14Lawsuit or investigationcrypto.news
- Several Trump-affiliated companies distance themselves from Trump-IRS deal after Senate Democrats' probe2026-07-29Lawsuit or investigationcbsnews.com
- The exchanges bought the bookies. Now comes the data war2026-07-25Acquisition (as buyer)crypto.news
- Polymarket takes France to court after regulators block website2026-07-22Regulatory actioncrypto.news
- Did White House insiders cash in on ₹5.22 crore US-Iran ceasefire bets? Teleprompter aide's ₹87 lakh wager raises alarm2026-07-19Funding roundlivemint.com
- Stanford Research Probes Manipulation Risks in Polymarket BTC Contracts2026-07-16Lawsuit or investigationcryptobreaking.com
- Polymarket Promo Code WTOP Secures $50 Bonus For MLB Sunday Matchups2026-07-12Funding roundwtop.com
- Democrats Probe Kalshi, Polymarket Over Trump Audit Immunity2026-07-07Lawsuit or investigationnews.bloombergtax.com
- Forbes Daily: Feds Probe Polymarket Over Deceptive Marketing Concerns2026-06-29Lawsuit or investigationforbes.com
- Polymarket hack losses rise to $3.1M as refund pledge faces scrutiny2026-06-28Breach or outagecrypto.news
- Polymarket Hit by Third-Party Breach Drains $2.9M, Raises Compliance Risks2026-06-27Funding roundcryptobreaking.com
- Zuckerberg wants Meta to launch its own prediction market, report says2026-06-24Product launcheuronews.com
Reported before Polymarket’s latest mark
A mark records a completed transaction, so it reflects what buyers and sellers knew several weeks before it printed. These stories were published in that window. They are shown in sequence, not as an explanation of the mark.
- New York City probes Kalshi and Polymarket over social harms2026-08-12Lawsuit or investigationfortune.com
- Kalshi, Polymarket sued by Baltimore over sports event contracts2026-08-14Lawsuit or investigationcrypto.news
- Baltimore sues Kalshi, Polymarket over alleged illegal sports betting, prediction markets2026-08-13Lawsuit or investigationfoxbaltimore.com
Polymarket equity, answered plainly
Is Polymarket a public company?
No. Polymarket is privately held, which is exactly why its share price doesn't show up in your brokerage app. The company (founded in 2020, operating in software development, with roughly 432 employees) remains private even at that scale. Its shares still change hands between eligible buyers and sellers on the secondary market, producing an observable estimated price.
What is Polymarket's stock price?
Polymarket has an observed estimated share price from secondary-market activity, updated as new data is observed. Its observed price history runs back to 2024-07-19. ExitCue members see the current estimate and its full history free, along with what their own grants are approximately worth at that price.
Can you sell Polymarket stock before an IPO?
Sometimes. Private-share sales depend on Polymarket's transfer restrictions, rights of first refusal, and whether the company runs tender offers or permits secondary sales. Your grant documents and the company's policies govern, but "hard to sell today" is not the same as "worth zero."
What happens to my Polymarket options if I leave?
Most option grants have a post-termination exercise window, commonly 90 days, sometimes longer, after which unexercised options expire worthless. The exact terms are in your grant documents. ExitCue reads those documents, tracks the deadline, and reminds you before the window closes.
How much is my Polymarket equity worth?
Multiply what you hold by the estimated share price, separating vested from unvested, and netting out strike prices for options. That's precisely the arithmetic ExitCue does for you, continuously, at the current observed estimate. It's an educational estimate, not a guarantee, and a far better anchor than the $0 the internet suggests.
What's the difference between Polymarket's 409A valuation and what its shares trade at?
The 409A is a tax-compliance appraisal, usually conservative, used to set option strike prices. Secondary-market pricing reflects what buyers and sellers actually agree to. The two frequently differ, which is why evaluating an offer on the 409A alone undersells (or oversells) it.
When will Polymarket IPO?
Unless Polymarket has publicly announced a listing, nobody knows, including the people who sound confident on forums. The practical upside of secondary markets is that you don't have to wait for an IPO to know approximately what the shares trade at.
Do my unvested Polymarket RSUs count for anything?
Unvested equity isn't yours yet, but it has an estimable value and a schedule. Seeing vested and unvested value separately, in dollars at the current estimated price, turns "some RSUs" into a number you can plan around.
General educational information, not advice about your specific situation. Grant terms vary; your documents govern.
Work out what your Polymarket equity is worth
These calculators take your own numbers and need no account.
- Option exercise costShares times strike: what exercising would cost, plus the estimated spread from your own value estimate.
- Vesting scheduleYour upcoming vest dates and cumulative vested shares from your start date, cliff, length, and frequency.
- Private stock scenarioEstimated value of your equity at low, mid, and high per-share scenarios you choose yourself.
New to this? Learn explains grant types, vesting and cliffs, and where an estimated share price comes from — in plain language.
Other private companies with observed prices
Company logos provided by Brandfetch.