Private company · employee equity guide

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What is Polymarket stock worth?

The world’s leading prediction market platform, where users trade on the outcomes of real-world events. By putting real money behind opinions, Polymarket cuts through noise, bias, and speculation to surface a single powerful signal: what people actually believe will happen.From elections and geopolitics to business, culture, and breaking news, Polymarket transforms headlines into live markets with constantly updating probabilities. The result is a real-time, crowd-driven forecast of the future — more dynamic and often more accurate than traditional polling or expert analysis.Polymarket provide

Estimated share price

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Polymarket has an observed estimated price: most recent data 2026-09-15, daily history back to 2024-07-19.

Estimated from live trades and accepted bids across employer liquidity programs, institutional trades, broker trades, and pre-IPO marketplaces. Private shares are illiquid and transfer-restricted; estimates are educational, not an offer or advice. The preview above is blurred and illustrative. How this is calculated

About Polymarket

Employees
432
Founded
2020
Website
polymarket.com

Weighing a Polymarket offer?

Upload the offer letter to see what the equity is approximately worth at today's estimated price. No account needed.

X-ray an offer

Leaving Polymarket? Mind the window.

If you hold options, leaving usually starts a post-termination exercise clock, often 90 days. Miss it and vested options can expire worthless; exercise blindly and you may owe real money (including possible AMT) on shares you can't yet sell. Neither panic nor autopilot is a plan. Knowing your window, your exercise cost, and the current estimated price is.

Track my window freeUpload your grant doc. We extract the window and set the reminders.

Polymarket in the last 12 months

  • 3 funding round
  • 6 lawsuit or investigation
  • 1 product launch
  • 1 regulatory action
  • 1 acquisition (as buyer)
  • 1 breach or outage

Covered by 96 distinct publications since 2026-06-18.

Who founded Polymarket

Shayne Coplan

Polymarket news timeline

Reported before Polymarket’s latest mark

A mark records a completed transaction, so it reflects what buyers and sellers knew several weeks before it printed. These stories were published in that window. They are shown in sequence, not as an explanation of the mark.

Polymarket equity, answered plainly

Is Polymarket a public company?

No. Polymarket is privately held, which is exactly why its share price doesn't show up in your brokerage app. The company (founded in 2020, operating in software development, with roughly 432 employees) remains private even at that scale. Its shares still change hands between eligible buyers and sellers on the secondary market, producing an observable estimated price.

What is Polymarket's stock price?

Polymarket has an observed estimated share price from secondary-market activity, updated as new data is observed. Its observed price history runs back to 2024-07-19. ExitCue members see the current estimate and its full history free, along with what their own grants are approximately worth at that price.

Can you sell Polymarket stock before an IPO?

Sometimes. Private-share sales depend on Polymarket's transfer restrictions, rights of first refusal, and whether the company runs tender offers or permits secondary sales. Your grant documents and the company's policies govern, but "hard to sell today" is not the same as "worth zero."

What happens to my Polymarket options if I leave?

Most option grants have a post-termination exercise window, commonly 90 days, sometimes longer, after which unexercised options expire worthless. The exact terms are in your grant documents. ExitCue reads those documents, tracks the deadline, and reminds you before the window closes.

How much is my Polymarket equity worth?

Multiply what you hold by the estimated share price, separating vested from unvested, and netting out strike prices for options. That's precisely the arithmetic ExitCue does for you, continuously, at the current observed estimate. It's an educational estimate, not a guarantee, and a far better anchor than the $0 the internet suggests.

What's the difference between Polymarket's 409A valuation and what its shares trade at?

The 409A is a tax-compliance appraisal, usually conservative, used to set option strike prices. Secondary-market pricing reflects what buyers and sellers actually agree to. The two frequently differ, which is why evaluating an offer on the 409A alone undersells (or oversells) it.

When will Polymarket IPO?

Unless Polymarket has publicly announced a listing, nobody knows, including the people who sound confident on forums. The practical upside of secondary markets is that you don't have to wait for an IPO to know approximately what the shares trade at.

Do my unvested Polymarket RSUs count for anything?

Unvested equity isn't yours yet, but it has an estimable value and a schedule. Seeing vested and unvested value separately, in dollars at the current estimated price, turns "some RSUs" into a number you can plan around.

General educational information, not advice about your specific situation. Grant terms vary; your documents govern.

Work out what your Polymarket equity is worth

These calculators take your own numbers and need no account.

New to this? Learn explains grant types, vesting and cliffs, and where an estimated share price comes from — in plain language.

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